Market Update – February 14 – Pivotal Day

Markets have prepped for Tuesday’s CPI report over the last several sessions, while also pricing in a more hawkish FOMC stance going into Q2. 

Stocks high, Tresauries mixed and US Dollar sagged.  Shorter dated Treasuries underperformed and were in the red most of the day as a “higher for longer” Fed stance was more fully priced in.

Gains in Microsoft, Apple, and Meta helped boost tech Nasdaq. Microsoft  +3.12%, pushing its market cap over $2 trillion, Meta +3.03% after the Financial Times reported that Meta is planning another round of layoffs. Tesla -1.14%

FXUSDIndex  sagged – slumped to 102.93 today, from an overnight high of 103.83, helped by a rebound in USDJPY.
EUR & GBP – extend losses against USD – 1.0737 & 1.2170 respectively. UK ILO unemployment held steady but employment rose in the three month to December. The tight labour market and wide spread strike action is forcing companies to up wage offers and regular pay in order to keep hold of skilled staff
JPY – just a breath below 133 before pullback to 132 again. The Yen recouped losses as Japan nominated a new central bank governor in a closely watched decision & as Japan’s Q4 GDP growth lags below expectations.
The US100 led the way with a 1.48% bounce, followed by the US500’s 1.14% advance, while the US30 was up 1.11%.

USOil – down at 79 area again but stands above20-DMA.  It fell after the US unveiled a plan to release supplies from its strategic reserves, offsetting price pressures triggered by rising demand in China and Russia’s plan to cut output. (Reuters)
Gold – sideways for a 3rd day at $1856-1867.
Cryptocurrencies  – BTC – at $21.7k.

Today – All eyes are on US Inflation. EU prelim GDP is also on tap.

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-0.65%). Holds at 20 DMA. MAs flattened , MACD lines are at 0, RSI 44 presenting that pullback run out of steam. H1 ATR 0.146, Daily ATR 0.883.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analysis

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