Market Update – January 20 – Equities weaker, Gold rallies, Yields cool

Stock markets sank again  (Nasdaq -1.15%) Financials and Tech companies led the slide, USD slipped as  Yields – slide from highs,  Oil higher again, Gold was asset of the day charged higher to $1842, supported by further hot Inflation data from Germany, UK and Canada and strong housing data from the US. China cut its mortgage rate lifting Asian markets (Nikkei +1.11%). Lagarde: ECB has reasons NOT to act as quickly as the FED. Biden increased the rhetoric over Russia & Ukraine predicting Russia would “make a move”. Johnson holds on in UK, for now.

USD (USDIndex 95.42) slips as Yields decline .
US Yields 10-yr moved higher to spike at 1.90% &  trades at 1.85%.    
Equities – USA500 -44 (-0.97%) 4532USA500 FUTS holds up at 4544.     
USOil – Spiked to $87.97 and subsequently collapsed to 84.00 after Biden comments and ahead of inventories today.
Gold – charged to $1843 and holds $1838 now after inflation news  and & Biden comments. A hold of 1830 is key.  
Bitcoin back to test $42,400
FX marketsEURUSD back to 1.1360, USDJPY now 114.40 & Cable back to 1.3625

Overnight – AUD JOBS better than expected, Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.6%, GERMAN PPI rocketed to 5.0% form 0.8%.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is up 5 ticks at 169.33, outperforming slightly versus US futures. The yield is up from the lows seen during the Asian part of the session though and especially for the short end, the trend higher will likely continue. The long end meanwhile should actually benefit from tightening steps as inflation continues to spike. DAX and FTSE 100 futures area posting gains of 0.4% and 0.6% respectively at the moment, and a 0.8% rise in the NASDAQ is leading US futures higher.

Today – Norges Bank & CBRT rate decisions, EZ CPI (final), ECB Minutes, US Claims, Philly Fed, Existing Home Sales. Earnings from American Airlines and Netflix 

Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDCAD (+0.35%)  Rallied from 3-day decline to 0.8455 to 0.8495 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram higher & testing 0 line. RSI 56 & rising,  H1 ATR 0.0011 Daily ATR 0.0056.

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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