Market Update – July 8 – Stocks Rise, USD holds, Johnson Resigns, Abe Shot

USDIndex tested 107.00 again following safe haven bids for USD & JPY following shooting of former Japanese PM Shinzo Abe (he remains in a critical condition). US Stocks rallied into close (NASDAQ +2.28%), lifting on hopes of less restrictive FED despite the tone of the minutes.  Asian markets were positive before shooting closing flat. (Hang Seng +0.22%, Nikkei +0.1%). European FUTS positive too. Yields closed up +3.85%. Oil rallied 4.3%, Gold flat up 0.2% & BTC rallied to $22k. UK PM Johnson resigned but will remain caretaker PM for now (FTSE100 gained 1.14%, Cable recovered to 1.2000).

USDIndex holds the bid at 107.00  
EquitiesUSA500 closed +1.50% 57.54pts (3902), US500FUTS at 3899 now.
Yields 10-year yield higher, closed at 2.85%, trades at 3.05% now. 
Oil & Gold had volatile sessions – USOil traded up to $104 from $96.60 lows and remains over $100.00 at $102.00. Gold fell to $1742, and rotates their currently. 
Bitcoin rallied from $20K, testing $22.4K today on chatter of major investments coming.
FX MarketsEURUSD remains pressured at 1.016, USDJPY capped by 136.00 traes at 135.50 now. Cable traded to 1.2050 at 1.2000 now.

Overnight – A weak set of data from Japan – Household spend -0.5% vs 2.2%, Econ. Watchers Sentiment 52.9 vs. 55.0

Today – US & Canadian Labour Market Reports, US Wholesale Inventories, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde & Fed’s Williams.

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPJPY (0.39%). JPY safe haven bid following ABE shooting stemmed the rally to 164.00 from 160.40 on Wednesday. Down to 162.80 now.    MAs crossed lower, MACD histogram positive but falling, RSI 44 & falling, H1 ATR 0.319, Daily ATR 1.983.

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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